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Countdown to Invasion
On July 21, 1990 the CIA reported that Iraq was massing troops near
the Kuwaiti border, but most officials dismissed it as saber-rattling
on the part of Saddam, designed to intimidate the Kuwaitis with
whom he was having negotiations concerning his grievances. On July
24, State Department spokesperson Margaret Tutwiler stated that
the U.S. was committed to supporting the individual & collective
self-defense of American friends in the Gulf, but that, we do not
have any defense treaties with Kuwait, & there are no special
defense or security commitments to Kuwait." Nevertheless, the
U.S. chose to hold naval exercises with the United Arab Emirates.
Only 6 days before the invasion, the U.S. Senate voted against agricultural
trade sanctions, aimed at curbing Baghdad. At that time, Assistant
Secretary of State for Middle East Affairs John Kelly, lobbying
against the sanctions, stated, it would be the American farmer &
the American exporter who would be punished by sanctions. The administration
remains opposed to broad-gauged sanctions." Senator Richard
Lugar, another supporter of the Bush administration said, Sanctions
would badly undercut any possibility we have of influencing Iraqi
behavior."
Saddam Meets U.S.
Ambassador Glaspie
On July 25th, when Saddam was already advanced in his plans to invade
Kuwait, he had the now infamous meeting with U.S. Ambassador April
Glaspie. A transcript of the meeting released by Iraq & not
disputed by the State Department until several months later, after
the war, reveals that Saddam began by impressing upon Glaspie Iraq's
needs & desires concerning his dispute with Kuwait, reminding
her that the U.S. has been sympathetic to these complaints in the
past. He also protested the naval exercises being held by the U.S.
in the Gulf, & threatened to unleash terrorists on America.
He further mentioned that he hoped that President Bush himself would
read the account of this meeting. Knowing that all her comments
would therefore be very much on the record", Glaspie's first
reply was:
I clearly understand your message. We studied history at school.
They taught us to say freedom or death. I think you know well that
we as a people have our experience with the colonialists".
What she was in effect saying, was that she realized that a major
problem in the Gulf was the fact that the borders were drawn to
conform to a now-obsolete British colonial diagram, a reality that
had been the essence of Iraq's grudge against Kuwait for decades.
For Saddam Hussein, who has been agitating against the colonialists
for most of his life, the American Ambassador's reference to Patrick
Henry, one of the founding fathers of U.S. independence who said,
Give me liberty, or give me death", in this context had to
be more than he hoped for. Saddam further questioned her on the
meaning of the statement made in Washington by State Department
spokesperson Margaret Tutwiler the day before. Glaspie reassured
him:
We have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts, like your border
disagreement with Kuwait. I was in the American embassy in Kuwait
during the late 60's. The instruction we had during this period
was that we should express no opinion on this issue, & that
the issue is not associated with America. James Baker has directed
our official spokesmen to emphasize this instruction."
From some other comments made during the meeting, Saddam could easily
have come to the conclusion that oil was the principal concern of
the U.S., & that as long as the price was right, America did
not really care who owned the oil. He stated several times during
the meeting that:
We clearly understand America's statement that it wants an easy
flow of oil." To which Ambassador Glaspie responded,
My own estimate after 25 years of service in the area is that your
claims should receive strong support from your brother Arabs....I
would only ask you to examine the possibility of not charging too
high a price for oil".
Saddam reassured her with; we do not want too high a price. $25.00
a barrel is not too high."
Glaspie agreed. We have many Americans who would like to see the
price go above $25 because they come from oil producing states."
Glaspie also went on to reaffirm that, I have a directive from the
President that I should work to expand & deepen relations with
Iraq," & that, President Bush is not going to declare an
economic war against Iraq."
In retrospect, this meeting looked remarkably like an invitation
for Saddam to go ahead & do as he pleased with Kuwait.
A few days later, Ambassador Glaspie left for a long-scheduled vacation.
Perhaps what is even more revealing than the above conversation
is a comment made by Glaspie some months later in an interview with
The New York Times. While discussing this above meeting & the
possible signals that it was sending to Saddam, she disclosed that,
I didn't think--& nobody else did-- that the Iraqis were going
to take ALL of Kuwait."
This sounds remarkably similar to the sentiments expressed by American
policy experts 10 years earlier, at the outset of the Iran-Iraq
war. We didn't expect Saddam to take all of Khuzistan". The
unspoken affirmation was that they did expect him to take some of
it. Apparently Saddam's only sin was that he had miscalculated how
much was being offered to him, & perhaps took more than he should
have. He had concluded that, with America still trying to appease
him, & public assurances that it had no commitment to defend
Kuwait, the way was clear for him to assume regional superpower
status. In one bold move, he reasoned: Iraq could assert its historical
claim to Kuwait, reverse the territorial injustices imposed by Britain
so many years ago & finally gain access to the sea. It would
also cut the Gordian knot of debt & simmering discontent left
by the war with Iran & give vent to the widespread resentment
in Iraq that the Gulf Arabs had lived in luxury throughout the war
while Iraqis had bled & died to protect them.
In a sense Saddam had been color blind. He had seen a green light,
when what was actually being displayed was a flashing amber--proceed
with caution. The evidence does seem to clearly indicate that in
yet another case history from the textbook of realpolitiks, a revised"
Iraq-Kuwait border, in which Iraq would keep a limited amount of
disputed territory, was part of the price that the U.S. & the
other Arab states had agreed to pay in their longstanding effort
to make a pet of Saddam Hussein.
On July 31, Assistant Secretary of State John Kelly, testifying
at a public Congressional hearing, was asked what U.S. forces would
do if Iraq invaded Kuwait. He replied that the U.S. had no formal
commitments to defend Kuwait.
On Aug.2, Iraq invaded Kuwait.
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